Questionnaire Report for Blue grenadier

(MERA version 4.1.1)

Adrian Hordyk (a.hordyk@oceans.ubc.ca)

2019-04-23


1 About this document

This is a prototype of an automatic report that documents how the user specified the operating model and their various justifications.


2 Introduction

This questionnaire was populated using the information from Castillo-Jordán and Tuck (2018) - referred to as ‘the assessment report’ throughout the questionnaire.

Blue grenadier are caught by demersal trawling in south-eastern Australia.

More details will be added to this section at a later date.

  1. Describe the history and current status of the fishery, including fleets, sectors, vessel types and practices/gear by vessel type, landing ports, economics/markets, whether targeted/bycatch, other stocks caught in the fishery.

  2. Describe the stock’s ecosystem functions, dependencies, and habitat types.

  3. Provide all relevant reference materials, such as assessments, research, and other analysis.

Castillo-Jordán, C. and Tuck, G.N. (2018). Blue grenadier (Macruronus novaezelandiae) stock assessment based on data up to 2017 – development of a preliminary base case. Technical paper presented to the SERAG, 19-21 September 2018, Hobart, Australia


3 Fishery Characteristics

3.1 Longevity

Answered
Very short-lived (5 < maximum age < 7)
Short-lived (7 < maximum age < 10)
Moderate life span (10 < maximum age < 20)
Moderately long-lived (20 < maximum age < 40)
Long-lived (40 < maximum age < 80)
Very long-lived (80 < maximum age < 160)
Justification
The assessment reports a maximum age of about 25 years and an MLE for natural mortality of 0.173.

3.2 Stock depletion

Answered
Crashed (D < 0.05)
Very depleted (0.05 < D < 0.1)
Depleted (0.1 < D < 0.15)
Moderately depleted (0.15 < D < 0.3)
Healthy (0.3 < D < 0.5)
Underexploited (0.5 < D)
Justification
The ‘Underexploited’ category was chosen as the stock assessment reports that the current spawning stock biomass is estimated to be above the equilibrium virgin stock size. It should be noted that the assessment estimates depletion to be above 1 but the Underexploited category includes depletion ranging from 0.5B0.

See Figure 6 from the assessment report.

3.3 Resilence

Answered
Not resilient (steepness < 0.3)
Low resilience (0.3 < steepness < 0.5)
Moderate resilence (0.5 < steepness < 0.7)
Resilient (0.7 < steepness < 0.9)
Very Resilient (0.9 < steepness)
Justification
The base case assessment assumed steepness = 0.75. Steepness was also estimated internally in the stock assessment. The likelihood profile on steepness was very broad, indicating that the parameter is not well defined. Consequently, a wide range was selected for stock resilence, ranging from ‘Moderate’ to ‘Very Resilient’.

3.4 Historical effort pattern

Answered
Stable
Two-phase
Boom-bust
Gradual increases
Stable, recent increases
Stable, recent declines
Justification
Table 2 in the stock assessment report shows the landed and discarded catches by year from 1979 to 2018, and reports the CPUE from 1986 to 2017. An index of historical fishing effort was generated by dividing the reported total catch by the CPUE.

The ‘Boom-bust’ effort pattern was used to generate a historical effort pattern that matched the reported trend. However, it was not possible to fully capture the fluctuations in fishing effort that occurred in the later 1990 and around 2011.

See here for data used to create the effort trajectory.


3.5 Inter-annual variability in historical effort

Answered
Not variable (less than 20% inter-annual change (IAC))
Variable (maximum IAC between 20% to 50%)
Highly variable (maximum IAC between 50% and 100%)
Justification
The assessment did not report information on the historical effort. An average annual change in effort of 35% was calculated from the effort trajectory described in the answer to the previous question. Based on this result, the ‘Variable’ option was selected, reflecting a fishery where inter-annual variability in fishing effort ranges from 20 - 50%.

3.6 Historical fishing efficiency changes

Answered
Declining by 2-3% pa (halves every 25-35 years)
Declining by 1-2% pa (halves every 35-70 years)
Stable -1% to 1% pa (may halve/double every 70 years)
Increasing by 1-2% pa (doubles every 35-70 years)
Increasing by 2-3% pa (doubles every 25-35 years)
Justification
The stock assessment document does not report any information on changes in historical fishing efficiency. It seems unlikely that fishing efficiency would have decreased significantly over the historical period of the fishery. An increase in fishing efficiency is perhaps more likely, as fishers developed an increased knowledge of the fishery over time, as well as the introduction of new technologies in this period. However, this increase in efficiency is difficult to quantify in the absence of more information.

The changes in historical fishing efficiency were set to cover a range from ‘Stable’ to slightly increasing fishing efficiency.

3.7 Future fishing efficiency changes

Answered
Declining by 2-3% pa (halves every 25-35 years)
Declining by 1-2% pa (halves every 35-70 years)
Stable -1% to 1% pa (may halve/double every 70 years)
Increasing by 1-2% pa (doubles every 35-70 years)
Increasing by 2-3% pa (doubles every 25-35 years)
Justification
No information in likely future changes in fishing efficiency is available. The same range was used as for changes in historical fishing efficiency described in the previous question.

3.8 Length at maturity

Answered
Very small (0.4 < LM < 0.5)
Small (0.5 < LM < 0.6)
Moderate (0.6 < LM < 0.7)
Moderate to large (0.7 < LM < 0.8)
Large (0.8 < LM < 0.9)
Justification
The assessment reports a mean length of maturity for males and females that is about 64% of the asymptotic length.

3.9 Selectivity of small fish

Answered
Very small (0.1 < S < 0.2)
Small (0.2 < S < 0.4)
Half asymptotic length (0.4 < S < 0.6)
Large (0.6 < S < 0.8)
Very large (0.8 < S < 0.9)
Justification
Figure A.5 in the assessment shows that the length of 50% selection is around 40 cm for females in the non-spawning season, and about 60 cm for the spawning fleet. This covers the range of 40 - 60% Linf.

3.10 Selectivity of large fish

Answered
Asymptotic selectivity (SL = 1)
Declining selectivity with length (0.75 < SL < 1)
Dome-shaped selectivity (0.25 < SL < 0.75)
Strong dome-shaped selectivity (SL < 0.25)
Justification
Figure A.5 in the assessment shows that the selectivity of large fish in the non-spawning season is dome-shaped, decreasing to about 0.25. Selectivity in the spawning season is reported as asymptotic. Consequently, a wide range for selectivity of large fish was chosen, ranging from 0.25 to 1.

3.11 Discard rate

Answered
Low (DR < 1%)
Low - moderate (1% < DR < 10%)
Moderate (10% < DR < 30%)
Moderate - high (30% < DR < 50%)
High (50% < DR < 70%)
Justification
Table 2 in the stock assessment report shows the landed and discarded catches by year from 1995 to 2018. The fraction of total catch that was discarded was calculated, with an average value of 0.16 and 10th and 90th percentiles of 0 and 50%.

3.12 Post-release mortality rate

Answered
Low (PRM < 5%)
Low - moderate (5% < PRM < 25%)
Moderate (25% < PRM < 50%)
Moderate - high (50% < PRM < 75%)
High (75% < PRM < 95%)
Almost all die (95% < PRM < 100%)
Justification
The species are caught using trawl gear and it is unlikely that survival of discarded fish is high. The assessment assumes a 100% mortality rate of discarded fish.

3.13 Recruitment variability

Answered
Very low (less than 10% inter-annual changes (IAC))
Low (max IAC of between 20% and 60%)
Moderate (max IAC of between 60% and 120%)
High (max IAC of between 120% and 180%)
Very high (max IAC greater than 180%)
Justification
Recruitment variability in blue grenadier is reported to be large. The initial value for sigma R in the stock assessment was set to 1.0. Asymptotic standard error estimates of recruitment deviations ranged from around 0.1 to 0.6. The range for recruitment variability was set to ‘Moderate’ and ‘High’, which covers a wide range of quite high recruitment variability.

3.14 Size of an existing MPA

Answered
None
Small (A < 5%)
Small-moderate (5% < A < 10%)
Moderate (10% < A < 20%)
Large (20% < A < 30%)
Very large (30% < A < 40%)
Huge (40% < A < 50%)
Justification
The stock assessment does not mention any existing MPA or spatial management that is in place for this fishery.

3.15 Spatial mixing (movement) in/out of existing MPA

Answered
Very low (P < 1%)
Low (1% < P < 5%)
Moderate (5% < P < 10%)
High (10% < P < 20%)
Fully mixed
Justification
Given no spatial structure in this fishery, it was assumed that the stock was fully mixed.

3.16 Size of a future potential MPA

Answered
None
Small (A < 5%)
Small-moderate (5% < A < 10%)
Moderate (10% < A < 20%)
Large (20% < A < 30%)
Very large (30% < A < 40%)
Huge (40% < A < 50%)
Justification
No future MPAs were assumed. However, the full range of options was chosen to explore the potential of spatial closures for managing this stock in the future.

3.17 Spatial mixing (movement) in/out of future potential MPA

Answered
Very low (P < 1%)
Low (1% < P < 5%)
Moderate (5% < P < 10%)
High (10% < P < 20%)
Fully mixed
Justification
No information is available on the movement rates for this species. The full range of spatial mixing options was chosen to reflect this uncertainty.

3.18 Initial stock depletion

Answered
Very low (0.1 < D1 < 0.15)
Low (0.15 < D1 < 0.3)
Moderate (0.3 < D < 0.5)
High (0.5 < D1)
Asymptotic unfished levels (D1 = 1)
Justification
The assessment assumed that the stock was at an unfished equilibrium in 1960.


4 Management Characteristics

4.1 Types of fishery management that are possible

Answered
TAC (Total Allowable Catch): a catch limit
TAE (Total Allowable Effort): an effort limit
Size limit
Time-area closures (a marine reserve)
Justification
1. Describe what, if any, current management measures are used to constrain catch/effort.
Blue grenadier are managed with a total allowable catch (TAC).

All management options are included here to explore the potential of these approaches for managing this fishery.

2. Describe historical management measures, if any.

3. Describe main strengths and weaknesses of current monitoring and enforcement capacity.

4. Describe and reference any legal/policy requirements for management, monitoring and enforcement.


4.2 TAC offset: consistent overages/underages

Answered
Large underages (40% - 70% of recommended)
Underages (70% - 90% of recommended)
Slight underages (90% - 100% of recommended)
Taken exactly (95% - 105% of recommended)
Slight overages (100% - 110% of recommended)
Overages (110% - 150% of recommended)
Large overages (150% - 200% of recommended)
Justification
Table 2 in the assessment reports the TAC and total catch from 1994 to 2018. In this period the total catch (including discards) was on average 71% of the TAC, and ranged from 20% to 101% of the TAC. Consequently, the average TAC offset was set to ‘Large underages’, and high inter-annual variability in TAC offset was set for the following question.


4.3 TAC implementation variability

Answered
Constant (V < 1%)
Not variable (1% < V < 5%)
Low variability (5% < V < 10%)
Variable (10% < V < 20%)
Highly variable (20% < V < 40%)
Justification
The fraction of the TAC that was caught each year was quite variable, with a CV of 37% and an average inter-annual variability of 25%.


4.4 TAE offset: consistent overages/underages

Answered
Large underages (40% - 70% of recommended)
Underages (70% - 90% of recommended)
Slight underages (90% - 100% of recommended)
Taken exactly (95% - 105% of recommended)
Slight overages (100% - 110% of recommended)
Overages (110% - 150% of recommended)
Large overages (150% - 200% of recommended)
Justification
The fishery is not currently managed with any effort controls. Given the management framework that exists for this fishery, it is likely that an effort control would be well implemented. The TAE offset was set to cover a range from ‘Slight underages’ to ‘Slight overages’.


4.5 TAE implementation variability

Answered
Constant (V < 1%)
Not variable (1% < V < 5%)
Low variability (5% < V < 10%)
Variable (10% < V < 20%)
Highly variable (20% < V < 40%)
Justification
No information is available on the expected variability in a TAE implementation. A wide range was selected here to reflect the uncertainty with this management approach.


4.6 Size limit offset: consistent overages/underages

Answered
Much smaller (40% - 70% of recommended)
Smaller (70% - 90% of recommended)
Slightly smaller (90% - 100% of recommended)
Taken exactly (95% - 105% of recommended)
Slightly larger (100% - 110% of recommended)
Larger (110% - 150% of recommended)
Much larger (150% - 200% of recommended)
Justification
Blue grenadier are caught in a trawl fishery. A size limit may not a practical management option for this fishery due to the difficulty in controlling selectivity pattern and the high discard mortality. The implementation of any potential size regulation would depend on the minimum legal size that was chosen.

It is unlikely that the fishery would only catch fish well above the size limit. On the other hand, the catch of fish below the minimum legal size is possible due to the non-selective nature of trawl fishing. A wide range was chosen to reflect this uncertainty.


4.7 Size limit implementation variability

Answered
Constant (V < 1%)
Not variable (1% < V < 5%)
Low variability (5% < V < 10%)
Variable (10% < V < 20%)
Highly variable (20% < V < 40%)
Justification
No information is available for this question. However, given that selectivity is a function of the gear type - trawl gear in this case - which is not expected to change between years, it is assumed that there will be very low variability in the implementation of a size limit.


5 Data Characteristics

5.1 Available data types

Answered
Historical annual catches (from unfished)
Recent annual catches (at least 5 recent years)
Historical relative abundance index (from unfished)
Recent relative abundance index (at least 5 recent years)
Fishing effort
Size composition (length samples)
Age composition (age samples)
Growth (growth parameters)
Absolute biomass survey
Justification
1. Provide the time series (specify years, if possible) that exist for catch, effort, and CPUE/abundance indices.

All data types appear to be available for this fishery. Catch records exist from 1979, not quite the beginning of the history of the fishery (assumed to be unfished in 1960).

2. Describe how these data collected (e.g., log books, dealer reporting, observers).

3. Describe what types of sampling programs and methodologies exist for data collection, including the time-series of available sampling data and quality.

4. Describe all sources of uncertainty in the status, biology, life history and data sources of the fishery. Include links to documentation, reports.


5.2 Catch reporting bias

Answered
Strong under-reporting (30% - 50%)
Under-reporting (10% - 30%)
Slight under-reporting (less than 10%)
Reported accurately (+/- 5%)
Slight over-reporting (less than 10%)
Justification
The assessment report does not make explicit mention of catch reporting bias. However, it is assumed that the catches are reported relatively accurately.


5.3 Hyperstability in indices

Answered
Strong hyperdepletion (2 < Beta < 3)
Hyperdepletion (1.25 < Beta < 2)
Proportional (0.8 < Beta < 1.25)
Hyperstability (0.5 < Beta < 0.8)
Strong hyperstability (0.33 < Beta < 0.5)
Justification
The stock assessment does not report any hyper-stability in the index of abundance. The index of abundance is based on the catch-rates of non-spawning (ie non-aggregating) blue grenadier. Based on the fact that the index is not developed from the aggregating spawning stock, it is assumed that the index is proportional to the true abundance.


5.4 Available data types

Answered
Perfect
Good (accurate and precise)
Data moderate (some what inaccurate and imprecise)
Data poor (inaccurate and imprecise)
Justification
A large amount of data, including extensive catch-at-age and catch-at-length samples, are available for this fishery. In general, it is believed that the quality of the data is ‘Good’, e.g., catch-at-length samples taken from 80-100 shots each year in the last 10 years.


6 Version Notes

The package is subject to ongoing testing. If you find a bug or a problem please send a report to t.carruthers@oceans.ubc.ca so that it can be fixed!





User-2019-04-23-09:46:40

copyright (c) NRDC 2019